In this episode of NewsBTC’s , we examine yesterday’s perfected TD9 buy setup in Bitcoin and other potentially bullish signals. We also compare BTC against the dollar using the DXY Dollar Currency Index.
Take a look at the video below:
VIDEO: Bitcoin Price Analysis (BTCUSD): September 22, 2022
In yesterday’s video, we warned of a new low being made due to the appearance of a TD9 buy setup. These signals can be perfected when the candle makes a lower low. Here is how that played out.
Market Timing Tool Triggers Perfect Buy Setup During FOMC Aftermath
Given the several shakeouts and the explosive intraday volatility, taking a position based on the the TD9 buy setup was not easy. The TD Sequential has also brought its resistance level down to roughly $22,700. If price can tag the red line, we could have a low timeframe reversal.
A bullish divergence on the Relative Strength Index and LMACD potentially back up this bullish signal.
Were bulls bold enough to take action at the TD9 buy setup? | Source:
Building The Case For A Possible Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom
Momentum is also right on the zero line on weekly timeframes, where those same bullish divergences could be building. The doji candle is indicative of indecision in the market, and could be a pause prior to a reversal, or strong continuation to the downside.
Weekly momentum has also fallen to the same level where past reversals formed. A bullish crossover might be all it takes to confirm a bottom is already in. In 2018, once crossed, Bitcoin took off like a rocket with more than 300% ROI in three months.
Comparing former bear market bottoms using the Relative Strength Index, each time the indicator reached oversold conditions on weekly timeframes, the bottom was already in. The PPO Percentile Rank which helps find tops and bottoms, shows that Bitcoin has been exhibiting bottom-like behavior. Moving out from the green range often has been the start of a new bull run.
Several indicators could suggest the bottom is in | Source:
What happens to Bitcoin at this point has more to do with the dollar. The dollar is one half of the BTCUSD trading pair, making it especially important.
The dollar has been in a , as you can see in the daily chart. However, momentum has been making lower highs suggesting that the underlying strength is weakening.
The DXY dollar currency index is also potentially forming an ending diagonal, which looks much like a rising wedge. These potentially bearish signals could create a reversal in the dollar that allows Bitcoin to bounce.
A comparison with Bitcoin offers a potential example of what might happen in the dollar. After a failed upthrust, price action reversed and a high was put in.
Is the DXY forming an ending diagonal? | Source:
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Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com
Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.
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Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.
In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.
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Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
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Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.
In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.
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