{"id":671596,"date":"2025-01-07T09:00:57","date_gmt":"2025-01-07T09:00:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/?p=671596"},"modified":"2025-01-06T18:50:13","modified_gmt":"2025-01-06T18:50:13","slug":"bitcoin-enters-late-bull-cycle-stage-says-analyst-what-investors-need-to-know-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/news\/bitcoin-enters-late-bull-cycle-stage-says-analyst-what-investors-need-to-know-now\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Enters Late Bull Cycle Stage, Says Analyst: What Investors Need to Know Now"},"content":{"rendered":"

The cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin, has often followed a pattern of alternating growth and decline cycles, reflecting investor sentiment and market fundamentals.<\/p>\n

Since the beginning of the current bull cycle in January 2023, Bitcoin has demonstrated substantial gains in both price and market duration. Increased capital inflows from new investors have supported this growth and existing participants are reinvesting their profits.<\/p>\n

However, recent indicators suggest that the market may now be entering the latter stages of this cycle, raising questions about what lies ahead for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: MARA CEO Advocates \u201cInvest And Forget\u201d Approach To Bitcoin, Citing Strong Historical Performance<\/a><\/div>\n

Key Indicators Point to Cautious Optimism<\/h2>\n

A significant metric supporting this observation is the percentage of Bitcoin traded within the past month based on realized market cap – UTXO, which currently sits at 36%, according to a recent analysis<\/a> shared by a CryptoQuant analyst known as Crypto Dan.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin realized market cap – UTXO. | Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In the analysis, Dan reveals that while this figure remains lower than peak levels observed in previous bull cycles<\/a>, its downward trajectory suggests that the market is “progressing toward its cycle peak.”<\/p>\n

Dan anticipates that this peak could occur sometime between Q1 and Q2 of 2025. However, rather than a single explosive surge, historical trends indicate that the ratio could experience sharp increases two to four more times before the cycle concludes.<\/p>\n

This pattern typically signals market overheating, followed by a subsequent correction or bear cycle. Dan further highlighted that while the market still holds potential for gains<\/a>, a conservative approach to risk management is advisable.<\/p>\n

Historically, late-stage bull cycles have been marked by increased volatility, as profit-taking begins to influence market behavior. Dan wrote:<\/p>\n

\n

Nevertheless, from a conservative standpoint and with risk management in mind, caution is advised. For this reason, I am planning to gradually sell my holdings.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Another critical observation from on-chain data is the relationship between short-term traders and long-term holders. Historically, a sharp increase in short-term trading activity<\/a> often precedes a market correction.<\/p>\n

Traders who entered the market during recent price rallies may begin to sell off their holdings, leading to temporary downward pressure on prices. Conversely, long-term holders often remain resilient during these periods, providing a stabilizing force in the market.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin Sees Recovery As The New Year Begins<\/h2>\n

After weeks of struggling and remaining below $100,000 in the last month of 2024, Bitcoin appears to have now resumed its bullish momentum<\/a> as the first month of 2025 commences.<\/p>\n

Although, BTC entered the new year with a price below $95,000. However, a few days later, the asset continued its upward momentum, reclaiming the $100,000 price mark to currently trade at a price of $101,624.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
BTC price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC\/USDT on TradingView<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

At the time of writing, BTC recorded a 3.9% increase in the past day bringing its price closer to its recently established all-time high above $108,000 last month.<\/p>\n

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin, has often followed a pattern of alternating growth and decline cycles, reflecting investor sentiment and market fundamentals. Since the beginning of the current bull cycle in January 2023, Bitcoin has demonstrated substantial gains in both price and market duration. Increased capital inflows from new investors have supported this growth and existing participants are reinvesting their profits. However, recent indicators suggest that the market may now be entering the latter stages of this cycle, raising questions about what lies ahead for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Related Reading: MARA CEO Advocates \u201cInvest And Forget\u201d Approach To Bitcoin, Citing Strong Historical Performance Key Indicators Point to Cautious Optimism A significant metric supporting this observation is the percentage of Bitcoin traded within the past month based on realized market cap – UTXO, which currently sits at 36%, according to a recent analysis shared by a CryptoQuant analyst known as Crypto Dan. In the analysis, Dan reveals that while this figure remains lower than peak levels observed in previous bull cycles, its downward trajectory suggests that the market is “progressing toward its cycle peak.” Dan anticipates that this peak could occur sometime between Q1 and Q2 of 2025. However, rather than a single explosive surge, historical trends indicate that the ratio could experience sharp increases two to four more times before the cycle concludes. This pattern typically signals market overheating, followed by a subsequent correction or bear cycle. Dan further highlighted that while the market still holds potential for gains, a conservative approach to risk management is advisable. Historically, late-stage bull cycles have been marked by increased volatility, as profit-taking begins to influence market behavior. Dan wrote: Nevertheless, from a conservative standpoint and with risk management in mind, caution is advised. For this reason, I am planning to gradually sell my holdings. Another critical observation from on-chain data is the relationship between short-term traders and long-term holders. Historically, a sharp increase in short-term trading activity often precedes a market correction. Traders who entered the market during recent price rallies may begin to sell off their holdings, leading to temporary downward pressure on prices. Conversely, long-term holders often remain resilient during these periods, providing a stabilizing force in the market. Bitcoin Sees Recovery As The New Year Begins After weeks of struggling and remaining below $100,000 in the last month of 2024, Bitcoin appears to have now resumed its bullish momentum as the first month of 2025 commences. Although, BTC entered the new year with a price below $95,000. However, a few days later, the asset continued its upward momentum, reclaiming the $100,000 price mark to currently trade at a price of $101,624. At the time of writing, BTC recorded a 3.9% increase in the past day bringing its price closer to its recently established all-time high above $108,000 last month. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":580,"featured_media":671678,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428,629,1119,78790,6664,10923,83531],"class_list":["post-671596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-market","tag-btc","tag-btcusdt","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-cryptoquant"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Enters Late Bull Cycle Stage, Says Analyst: What Investors Need to Know Now<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin, has often followed a pattern of alternating growth and decline cycles, reflecting investor...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others. Edyme\u2019s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis. Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events\u2014like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ\u2019s arrest\u2014has honed his keen sense of market dynamics. When he isn\u2019t crafting engaging crypto content, you\u2019ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he\u2019s catching some Z\u2019s or scrolling through Elon Musk\u2019s very own X platform\u2014(oops, another screen activity, my bad\u2026) Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters\u2014(don\u2019t judge, that\u2019s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or \u201ckaizen,\u201d striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, \u201cGod knows best\u201d and \u201cEverything is still on track,\u201d reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life. In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He\u2019s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck\u2014unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet\u2014bold. He\u2019s the guy who\u2019d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point\u2014(uhhh\u2026). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent\u2014okay, maybe that\u2019s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps. Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That\u2019s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF\u2019s \u201cClouds\u201d that resonate deeply with him: \u201cWhat you think's probably unfeasible, I've done already a hundredfold.\u201d PS\u2014Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He\u2019s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/0xEdyme"],"url":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/author\/samueledymeabayomi\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Bitcoin Enters Late Bull Cycle Stage, Says Analyst: What Investors Need to Know Now","url":"http:\/\/ktsl888.com\/news\/bitcoin-enters-late-bull-cycle-stage-says-analyst-what-investors-need-to-know-now\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/ktsl888.com\/news\/bitcoin-enters-late-bull-cycle-stage-says-analyst-what-investors-need-to-know-now\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/DALL\u00b7E-2025-01-06-16.48.05-A-professional-and-visually-engaging-digital-illustration-representing-Bitcoin-entering-the-late-stage-of-a-bull-market-cycle.-The-image-features-a-la.jpg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/DALL\u00b7E-2025-01-06-16.48.05-A-professional-and-visually-engaging-digital-illustration-representing-Bitcoin-entering-the-late-stage-of-a-bull-market-cycle.-The-image-features-a-la.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Samuel Edyme"}],"creator":["Samuel Edyme"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin","bitcoin market","btc","btcusdt","crypto","crypto market","cryptoquant"],"dateCreated":"2025-01-07T09:00:57Z","datePublished":"2025-01-07T09:00:57Z","dateModified":"2025-01-07T09:00:57Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Enters Late Bull Cycle Stage, Says Analyst: What Investors Need to Know Now\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/ktsl888.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-enters-late-bull-cycle-stage-says-analyst-what-investors-need-to-know-now\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/ktsl888.com\\\/news\\\/bitcoin-enters-late-bull-cycle-stage-says-analyst-what-investors-need-to-know-now\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ktsl888.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/01\\\/DALL\\u00b7E-2025-01-06-16.48.05-A-professional-and-visually-engaging-digital-illustration-representing-Bitcoin-entering-the-late-stage-of-a-bull-market-cycle.-The-image-features-a-la.jpg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ktsl888.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/01\\\/DALL\\u00b7E-2025-01-06-16.48.05-A-professional-and-visually-engaging-digital-illustration-representing-Bitcoin-entering-the-late-stage-of-a-bull-market-cycle.-The-image-features-a-la.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Samuel Edyme\"}],\"creator\":[\"Samuel Edyme\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ktsl888.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin\",\"bitcoin market\",\"btc\",\"btcusdt\",\"crypto\",\"crypto market\",\"cryptoquant\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2025-01-07T09:00:57Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-01-07T09:00:57Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-01-07T09:00:57Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/ktsl888.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/DALL\u00b7E-2025-01-06-16.48.05-A-professional-and-visually-engaging-digital-illustration-representing-Bitcoin-entering-the-late-stage-of-a-bull-market-cycle.-The-image-features-a-la.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671596","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/580"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=671596"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671596\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":671686,"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671596\/revisions\/671686"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/671678"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=671596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=671596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=671596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}