{"id":601931,"date":"2024-04-08T08:00:56","date_gmt":"2024-04-08T08:00:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/?p=601931"},"modified":"2024-06-11T07:51:14","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T07:51:14","slug":"12-days-bitcoin-halving-why-100000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/news\/12-days-bitcoin-halving-why-100000\/","title":{"rendered":"12 Days Until Bitcoin Halving: Why $100,000 Isn’t Much Further Away"},"content":{"rendered":"

With the fourth Bitcoin halving just 12 days away, the community is buzzing with anticipation, speculating on the potential for Bitcoin to breach the significant $100,000 threshold. Joe Consorti of Theya Research has offered a comprehensive analysis, diving into the intricacies of Bitcoin’s current market position and the factors that might catapult its value to new heights.<\/p>\n

This event, a cornerstone in Bitcoin’s design to halve the rewards for mining new blocks every four years, historically triggers a bullish momentum, and the present scenario appears to be aligning with past precedents.<\/p>\n

The Significance Of Bitcoin’s Consolidation Phase<\/h2>\n

Consorti’s analysis<\/a> titled, \u201cBitcoin’s 4th Halving Is [12] Days Away, and $100,000 Isn’t Much Further Behind It\u201d, begins with a deep dive into Bitcoin’s ongoing consolidation phase, which he argues is a critical period that precedes a potential bull run.<\/p>\n

“Bitcoin continues its consolidation. In keeping with its previous phases of consolidation<\/a> at $30k and $40k, BTC spends several weeks at key psychological price levels exchanging hands between buyers and sellers before advancing higher,” Consorti stated on X.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: FOMO Gives Way To Fear: Bitcoin-Ethereum Ratio Signals Shift In Crypto Sentiment<\/a><\/div>\n

He emphasizes that this is the sixth week of Bitcoin’s consolidation above $60,000, marking the least volatile period at this price level and following a new all-time high. This, according to Consorti, signals a strong market confidence that could be the foundation for the next surge.<\/p>\n

The analysis further explores the broader market dynamics, particularly the correlation breaks within the current cycle that have made the stock market an unreliable indicator of US economic sentiment.<\/a> “The market at large has experienced massive correlation breaks this cycle […] This has a great deal to do with businesses extending their debt maturity during 2021 when rates were still low, and the US Treasury’s massive crisis-level fiscal deficit,” Consorti explains.<\/p>\n

He argues that these factors have contributed to the decoupling of traditional economic indicators from the stock market’s performance, inadvertently benefiting asset prices, including Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

The Role Of ETFs And The Spot Market<\/h3>\n

A significant portion of Consorti’s analysis is dedicated to the behavior of Bitcoin ETFs<\/a> and their interaction with the spot market.<\/p>\n

Despite a slowdown in net inflows to Bitcoin ETFs, the volume remains robust, indicating a healthy market. “This was one of the lowest weeks yet for BTC ETF inflows, although when you net in the outflows they are still healthy compared to previous weeks,” Consorti notes, suggesting that ETF shares are actively exchanging hands, mirroring the consolidation seen in the spot market.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: $115-Million Bitcoin Whale Wakes Up From 10-Year Slumber \u2013 What\u2019s Next?<\/a><\/div>\n

This interplay between ETFs and the spot market, according to Consorti, provides a stable foundation for Bitcoin’s price, further solidifying the case for an impending bull run. “The funding rate is extremely muted, and we’re still at the same price [around $70,000]. In this period of consolidation, the spot market has really taken control of Bitcoin price action. This will mean more stable footing for the ensuing bull run, raising my confidence further that this consolidation is preceding a move higher rather than lower,” Consorti concluded.<\/p>\n

Expert Consensus On The Bullish Outlook<\/h3>\n

Consorti’s optimistic forecast is echoed by other industry experts, who have also shared their bullish predictions. CRG, another renowned analyst, emphasized the significance of Bitcoin’s recent performance, stating, “Great weekly close. Fresh all-time highs this week,” indicating a positive momentum that could be sustained in the post-halving period.<\/p>\n

\n

Great weekly close<\/p>\n

Fresh all time highs this week <\/p>\n

Source: my plums pic.twitter.com\/wyxwomdDjZ<\/a><\/p>\n

— CRG (@MacroCRG) April 8, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n