{"id":533260,"date":"2023-05-16T22:00:03","date_gmt":"2023-05-16T22:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/?p=533260"},"modified":"2024-06-11T08:08:38","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T08:08:38","slug":"bitcoin-metric-nearing-crucial-retest-will-bulls-find-victory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/news\/bitcoin-metric-nearing-crucial-retest-will-bulls-find-victory\/","title":{"rendered":"This Bitcoin Metric Is At A Crucial Junction, Will Bulls Find Victory?"},"content":{"rendered":"
On-chain data shows a Bitcoin indicator is currently retesting a crucial level that could decide the direction the market takes from here.<\/p>\n
As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post<\/a>, the short-term holders are currently selling at their break-even mark. The relevant indicator here is the “Spent Output Profit Ratio<\/a>” (SOPR), which tells us whether Bitcoin investors are moving their coins at a profit or at a loss right now.<\/p>\n When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the average holder in the market is currently selling their coins at a profit. On the other hand, the indicator having values below this threshold suggests the market as a whole is realizing a net amount of loss.<\/p>\n The level at which SOPR becomes exactly equal to one implies that the loss realization is exactly equal to the profit realization right now, and hence, the average investor is just breaking even on their investment.<\/p>\n In the context of the current topic, the entire market isn’t of interest; only a segment of it: the “short-term holders<\/a>” (STHs). The STHs include all BTC investors that bought their coins within the last 155 days.<\/p>\n Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 14-day moving average (MA) Bitcoin SOPR specifically for these STHs over the last few years:<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Historically, the Bitcoin STH SOPR has followed a curious pattern. During bullish periods, the indicator has generally stayed above the line where the metric’s value becomes 1. This makes sense, as rallies allow the STHs many profit-taking opportunities, so the majority should be selling at some gains.<\/p>\nThe value of the metric seems to have been going down in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/pre>\n