{"id":515071,"date":"2023-01-06T10:00:10","date_gmt":"2023-01-06T15:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/?p=515071"},"modified":"2024-06-11T08:53:09","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T08:53:09","slug":"bitcoin-bearish-large-dormant-supply-move","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/news\/bitcoin-bearish-large-dormant-supply-move\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bearish Signal: Large Dormant Supply On The Move"},"content":{"rendered":"
On-chain data shows a large amount of old Bitcoin supply has moved in the last few days, something that could be bearish for the crypto’s price.<\/p>\n
As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post<\/a>, a total of four large transfers with old supply have taken place in the last week. The relevant indicator here is the “Spent Output Age Bands<\/a>” (SOAB), which tells us the total number of coins that each age band is moving on the chain right now.<\/p>\n The age bands refer to supply groups divided based on the criteria of the age of the coins (or more precisely, of the UTXOs). For example, the 1m-3m age band includes all coins that have been sitting dormant inside the same addresses since at least 1 month ago and at most 3 months ago. The SOAB metric for this group would then measure the total number of these coins that have been transferred to another wallet.<\/p>\n Now, the age bands of interest here are the 2y-3y and 3y-5y groups. Typically, investors that have been holding their coins since more than 155 days ago are said to be the “long-term holders<\/a>” (LTHs), so both these bands include coins belonging to two different segments of the LTHs.<\/p>\n Also, it’s a statistical fact that the longer investors hold onto their BTC, the less probable they become to sell at any point. This implies that the holders with such aged supply as in these bands would be some of the most resolute HODLers in the market.<\/p>\n Here is a chart that shows the SOAB data for these two Bitcoin age bands over the past week:<\/p>\n <\/p>\n As the above graph displays, there have been four large movements of coins belonging to these cohorts in the last few days. Three of these transfers were from the 2y-3y age band, while one was from the 3y-5y group.<\/p>\nLooks like there have been multiple spikes in this metric in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/pre>\n