{"id":457882,"date":"2021-03-03T01:00:16","date_gmt":"2021-03-03T01:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/?p=457882"},"modified":"2024-06-11T13:03:15","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T13:03:15","slug":"bitcoin-dollar-rebound-bear-phase","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/news\/bitcoin-dollar-rebound-bear-phase\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Shakes Off Dollar Rebound But Beware Of Coming Bear Phase"},"content":{"rendered":"
Bitcoin<\/a> has barely flinched in the face of the dollar’s best attempt at a rebound in over a year. The greenback is trying to stage a comeback against the top cryptocurrency, which has left the global reserve currency battered and beaten.<\/p>\n Although Bitcoin has fended off the advance in USD, if history repeats and the dollar surges, a short term bear phase could be coming to the crypto market soon.<\/p>\n 2021 thus far has been Bitcoin’s best year on record<\/a>. 2020 was among the dollar’s worst as sentiment turned negative and inflation fears pushed investors toward hard assets like gold and crypto.<\/p>\n However, according to the DXY Dollar Currency Index, which weighs the dollar against a bucket of other national forex currencies, a comeback is in the making.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n The chart above shows the DXY breaking out from a falling wedge pattern, and coming back down to retest the former resistance line as support. With the retest complete, a stronger push higher should result.<\/p>\n Related Reading | Dollar, Divergences, & More: Here\u2019s Why Bitcoin Could Soon Bounce<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n Thus far Bitcoin has remained largely unaffected<\/a> by the dollar’s advance, despite one half of the cryptocurrency’s main trading pair featuring the fiat currency.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Coinciding with the breakout of the falling wedge, on higher timeframes, the MACD<\/a> \u2013 a momentum indicator \u2013 is starting to turn upward. Past instances of the same pattern breaking upward combined with a bullish crossover on the MACD has led to sustained upside in the DXY.<\/p>\n Although the leading cryptocurrency by market cap has shaken off the greenback’s rebound thus far, a bear phase could soon be coming that sets back the current uptrend for some time.<\/p>\n Each time the MACD crossed bullish<\/a> on the DXY, it led to an extended bear market in Bitcoin, as pictured below.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Bitcoin has been an uptrend for nearly a full year \u2013 since Black Thursday in 2020 \u2013 but time could be running out. The MACD hasn’t fully crossed over just yet, but has begun to turn upward.<\/p>\n Related Reading | This Unique Take On Bitcoin Suggests A Bear Phase Is Near<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n However, not all is lost for Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market. An inverse head and shoulders<\/a> on high timeframes might have completed on the DXY, which after a throwback to the trendline to confirm it as resistance, could result in the largest collapse in the dollar’s history, and its eventual undoing.<\/p>\n <\/p>\nThe Badly Beaten Dollar Begins Breakout And Bounce<\/h2>\n
The dollar is breaking out from a falling wedge. Will crypto respond? | Source: DXY on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
A bullish MACD crossover will confirm the breakout as it has in the past | Source: DXY on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
How A Reversal In The Greenback Could Send Bitcoin Into A Bear Market<\/h2>\n
Each bullish crossover in the dollar led to a crypto bear market | Source: DXY on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Upside in the dollar could ultimately be limited, benefiting Bitcoin | Source: DXY on TradingView.com<\/a><\/pre>\n