{"id":414569,"date":"2020-02-13T21:00:56","date_gmt":"2020-02-13T21:00:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/?p=414569"},"modified":"2024-06-11T11:36:05","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T11:36:05","slug":"historic-bitcoin-cycle-all-time-high-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/news\/historic-bitcoin-cycle-all-time-high-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"Historic Bitcoin Cycle Suggests No New All-Time High Until 2021"},"content":{"rendered":"

Markets are cyclical, and history often repeats.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

And if the bear to bull cycle from 2014 through 2017 is any indication, Bitcoin<\/a> could have as much as another full year before the cryptocurrency revisits its all-time high.<\/span><\/p>\n

Comparing Previous Cycles With the Current Bear and Bull Markets<\/h2>\n

The crypto market at large is widely convinced that a new bull market is forming for Bitcoin<\/a> and altcoins like Ethereum, Litecoin, and XRP<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Numerous signals<\/a> tend to back up the theory, and the entire market is resting and consolidating just below critical resistance \u2013 a sign that the resistance level may soon be broken.<\/span><\/p>\n

Related Reading | 10 Factors Confirm a New Crypto Bull Market Has Officially Begun<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

But while a push beyond the current levels would certainly suggest a new bull market is here, a rejection at current levels would bring Bitcoin back in line with past bear to bull cycles.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bitcoin is just 11 years young<\/a>, so there aren\u2019t many bear markets cycling into bull markets to glean information from.<\/span><\/p>\n

The most significant bear market was following the 2013 peak when Bitcoin reached over $1,000 for the first time.<\/span><\/p>\n

It was a break back above this level that caused Bitcoin to go parabolic throughout the remainder of 2017 \u2013 a rally that led to Bitcoin<\/a> setting yet another new all-time high.<\/span><\/p>\n

Investors realizing that the mysterious asset rose from the grave and breached its previous high has in the past caused a strong wave of FOMO that pushed prices to a new record.<\/span><\/p>\n

The same thing is expected once again once the mainstream public catches wind that Bitcoin made it past $20,000 after disappearing from the public eye for a few years of a downtrend.<\/span><\/p>\n

But this may be a ways off, according to the previous cycle.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"bitcoin<\/p>\n

Could Bitcoin’s Next All-Time High Before a Year Away?<\/h2>\n

The time elapsed between the last cycle\u2019s all-time high and it is revisited was roughly 1,135 days.<\/span><\/p>\n

This time around, Bitcoin<\/a> is only roughly 800 days through its current bear to bull cycle, suggesting that there\u2019s potentially another year worth of price action before the leading crypto by market cap revisits $20,000.<\/span><\/p>\n

The data also shows that Bitcoin\u2019s current rally is overheated compared to the same point during the last cycle.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"bitcoin<\/p>\n

At just 800 days in, Bitcoin is currently 230% up from the bottom at $3,100. 800 days in the last time around, Bitcoin was up only 150% from the bottom.<\/span><\/p>\n

Also at the current timeframe, there\u2019s only 100% gains left to go before Bitcoin<\/a> reaches $20,000. At the same point during the last cycle, Bitcoin had just under 200% left to go.<\/span><\/p>\n

It\u2019s also worth noting that when plotted over the logarithmic growth curve<\/a>, Bitcoin spent a full 850 days in the blue bottom channel, before breaking out and going on a rally. During the current cycle, the first-ever cryptocurrency spent a cumulative 310 days in the blue band during two separate dips into it.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"bitcoin<\/p>\n

Bitcoin<\/a> is currently at the top point of the bottom blue band, which is a logical place for a correction to occur, potentially pushing the crypto asset back into the accumulation band a while longer.<\/span><\/p>\n

And importantly, this cycle, the absolute bottom of the growth curve has yet to be touched.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bitcoin reaching these levels at a faster rate, either suggests that Bitcoin is more bullish this time around, and could set a new all-time high much sooner than the previous cycle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Related Reading | Global Altcoin Breakout Could Usher Return of Alt Season Crypto Riches\u00a0<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

However, many analysts believe that each Bitcoin cycle is lengthening, due to the asset\u2019s relative volatility decreasing as adoption takes place. This would suggest that not only does Bitcoin have a year to go – it could be even longer than that before the king of crypto sets a new all-time high.<\/span><\/p>\n

Once it does, however, it\u2019ll be off to the races just like last time around, and Bitcoin<\/a> will once again go parabolic and set a new record that shocks the world.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Markets are cyclical, and history often repeats.\u00a0 And if the bear to bull cycle from 2014 through 2017 is any indication, Bitcoin could have as much as another full year before the cryptocurrency revisits its all-time high. Comparing Previous Cycles With the Current Bear and Bull Markets The crypto market at large is widely convinced that a new bull market is forming for Bitcoin and altcoins like Ethereum, Litecoin, and XRP. Numerous signals tend to back up the theory, and the entire market is resting and consolidating just below critical resistance \u2013 a sign that the resistance level may soon be broken. Related Reading | 10 Factors Confirm a New Crypto Bull Market Has Officially Begun\u00a0 But while a push beyond the current levels would certainly suggest a new bull market is here, a rejection at current levels would bring Bitcoin back in line with past bear to bull cycles. Bitcoin is just 11 years young, so there aren\u2019t many bear markets cycling into bull markets to glean information from. The most significant bear market was following the 2013 peak when Bitcoin reached over $1,000 for the first time. It was a break back above this level that caused Bitcoin to go parabolic throughout the remainder of 2017 \u2013 a rally that led to Bitcoin setting yet another new all-time high. Investors realizing that the mysterious asset rose from the grave and breached its previous high has in the past caused a strong wave of FOMO that pushed prices to a new record. The same thing is expected once again once the mainstream public catches wind that Bitcoin made it past $20,000 after disappearing from the public eye for a few years of a downtrend. But this may be a ways off, according to the previous cycle. Could Bitcoin’s Next All-Time High Before a Year Away? The time elapsed between the last cycle\u2019s all-time high and it is revisited was roughly 1,135 days. This time around, Bitcoin is only roughly 800 days through its current bear to bull cycle, suggesting that there\u2019s potentially another year worth of price action before the leading crypto by market cap revisits $20,000. The data also shows that Bitcoin\u2019s current rally is overheated compared to the same point during the last cycle. At just 800 days in, Bitcoin is currently 230% up from the bottom at $3,100. 800 days in the last time around, Bitcoin was up only 150% from the bottom. Also at the current timeframe, there\u2019s only 100% gains left to go before Bitcoin reaches $20,000. At the same point during the last cycle, Bitcoin had just under 200% left to go. It\u2019s also worth noting that when plotted over the logarithmic growth curve, Bitcoin spent a full 850 days in the blue bottom channel, before breaking out and going on a rally. During the current cycle, the first-ever cryptocurrency spent a cumulative 310 days in the blue band during two separate dips into it. Bitcoin is currently at the top point of the bottom blue band, which is a logical place for a correction to occur, potentially pushing the crypto asset back into the accumulation band a while longer. And importantly, this cycle, the absolute bottom of the growth curve has yet to be touched. Bitcoin reaching these levels at a faster rate, either suggests that Bitcoin is more bullish this time around, and could set a new all-time high much sooner than the previous cycle. Related Reading | Global Altcoin Breakout Could Usher Return of Alt Season Crypto Riches\u00a0 However, many analysts believe that each Bitcoin cycle is lengthening, due to the asset\u2019s relative volatility decreasing as adoption takes place. This would suggest that not only does Bitcoin have a year to go – it could be even longer than that before the king of crypto sets a new all-time high. Once it does, however, it\u2019ll be off to the races just like last time around, and Bitcoin will once again go parabolic and set a new record that shocks the world.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":517,"featured_media":414574,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5651,3],"tags":[5687,428,12672,6664,32982],"class_list":["post-414569","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bear-market","tag-bitcoin","tag-bull-market","tag-crypto","tag-cycles"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHistoric Bitcoin Cycle Suggests No New All-Time High Until 2021<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markets are cyclical, and history often repeats.\u00a0 And if the bear to bull cycle from 2014 through 2017 is any indication, Bitcoin could have as much as\" 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As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market. A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony\u2019s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements. Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions. In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony\u2019s expertise to guide their trading strategies. Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies. Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders. His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics. Tony\u2019s nickname, \"The Bull,\" aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice. In summary, Tony \"The Bull\" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. 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