{"id":390103,"date":"2019-07-17T11:00:50","date_gmt":"2019-07-17T11:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/?p=390103"},"modified":"2024-06-11T13:45:33","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T13:45:33","slug":"bitcoin-correction-to-9500-could-be-followed-by-20-drop-analyst","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/news\/bitcoin-correction-to-9500-could-be-followed-by-20-drop-analyst\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Correction to $9,500 Could Be Followed by 20% Drop: Analyst"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/category\/crypto\/bitcoin\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) has been absolutely slammed over the past week. Since passing above $13,000 for the second time this year last Wednesday, the crypto has been on a clearly downward-sloping trend.<\/p>\n<h6 style=\"text-align: center\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/2019\/07\/16\/bitcoin-blasts-below-10k-following-senate-hearing-on-facebook-crypto\/\">Bitcoin Blasts Below $10K, Following Senate Hearing on Facebook Crypto<\/a><\/h6>\n<p>In fact, as of the time of writing this article, Bitcoin has lost 25% in the past week, falling to as low as $9,300.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the fact that optimists are expecting for bulls to experience some form of short-term reprieve, historical trends and other key indicators predict a further unwinding of the cryptocurrency bull market.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Bitcoin Poised to Hit $7,500<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Conceptualized by <a href=\"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/2019\/04\/16\/industry-exec-bitcoin-to-be-the-escape-hatch-in-impending-global-recession\/\">Trace Mayer<\/a>, an early Bitcoin investor and funder of Kraken, the Mayer Multiple is a way of determining if BTC is either overbought, fairly valued, or oversold. It is calculated by putting the asset&#8217;s current price over its 200-day moving average.<\/p>\n<p>Per an <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoKea\/status\/72138752\" rel=\"nofollow\">analysis<\/a> of this indicator (currently sits at 1.6) by CryptoKea, a little-known analyst that accurately called the recent drop to at least $9,700 earlier this month, if you consider the Multiple, the ongoing correction looks much like the first &#8220;major correction&#8221; of 2017&#8217;s bull run.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">26\/ Bitcoin\u00b4s price is very much on track to resemble the first major correction of 2017\u00b4s bull market in terms of Mayer Multiples (see full thread for details &amp; targets). Even if we go all the way down to the bottom of the bullish channel, this is still considered a bull market. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Wit1KaQjsS\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/Wit1KaQjsS<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; CryptoKea (@CryptoKea) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoKea\/status\/72138752?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">July 16, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>He notes that if history repeats itself and Bitcoin reverses out of its current short-term bearish trend like it did in 2012 and 2017, it could find support anywhere from $7,148 to $8,700. This corresponds to 1.20 times to 1.46 times of the 200-day moving average, which currently sits at $5,957.<\/p>\n<p>Most likely, however, Kea notes that the &#8220;most probable target&#8221; as per the use of the <a href=\"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/2019\/06\/05\/legendary-crypto-investor-bitcoin-retreating-7000-optimal\/\">Mayer Multiple<\/a> will be $7,505 \u2014 another 20% drop from the current Bitcoin price of $9,600.<\/p>\n<p>This somewhat lines up with the target of $8,000 that other analysts hold. Per <a href=\"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/2019\/07\/15\/bitcoin-could-fall-by-20-to-bottom-around-8000-network-value-model\/\">previous reports from NewsBTC<\/a>, Timothy Peterson, a prominent American crypto fund manager,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nsquaredcrypto\/status\/21922305\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\" rel=\"follow noopener noreferrer nofollow\">notes<\/a>\u00a0that\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/2019\/03\/26\/economist-bitcoin-fastest-highest-asset\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Bitcoin\u2019s<\/a> current active account figure suggests that BTC is overvalued.<\/p>\n<p class=\"svecc-content-banner-added\">According to Peterson\u2019s model, which takes a 30-day median (as of July 13th) of the number of active accounts on the Bitcoin blockchain, BTC currently has a fair valuation of just above $8,000.<\/p>\n<p>In a tweet issued on Saturday, <a href=\"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/?s=Josh+Rager&amp;lang=en\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Josh Rager<\/a>, a prominent technical analyst and cryptocurrency commentator, looked to this same level.<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/twitter.com\/Josh_Rager\/status\/37498880<\/p>\n<p class=\"svecc-content-banner-added\">Rager notes that a \u201cconfluence\u201d of chart data and on-chain data suggests that a pullback \u201cwould likely bottom out at $8,000\u201d. As he explained in the chart above, $8,000 acted as a key horizontal support and resistance level in the recent rally and 2018\u2019s crash.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s more, there is also a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/2019\/06\/25\/cme-bitcoin-futures-gaps-give-likely-correction-targets-next-bear-market-bottom\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">CME Bitcoin futures<\/a>\u00a0gap around $8,500, which is one of the last gaps waiting to be filled.<\/p>\n<p>And as Alfonso Esparza, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/bitcoin-tumbles-trumps-critique-tests-233323153.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"exclude\" rel=\"follow noopener noreferrer nofollow\">recently told Bloomberg<\/a>: \u201c[Bitcoin] continues to trade lower as comments from President Trump put downward pressure on the cryptocurrency. It could fall further to $8,000, giving back all the gains made in June.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>Drop Might be Over?<\/h2>\n<p>Despite this, one analyst believes that the drop is most likely over. In fact, he drew attention to almost five signs why this may very well be the case, even if it sounds crazy.<\/p>\n<p>Firstly, the one-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic iteration of this indicator are at their lowest levels since at least February, entering the &#8220;oversold&#8221; range. The one-day Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has tapped the zero level, despite the fact that Bitcoin is in a raging bull market according to most analysis.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTCUSD&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">$BTCUSD<\/a>, 1D<br \/>\u2013 RSI is lowest from February<br \/>\u2013 MACD is -&gt;0 level (a new bear market? No!)<br \/>\u2013 stochastic is at lowest point from December<br \/>\u2013 Elder&#39;s Forse Index \u2013 lowest from November<br \/>\u2013 historical volatility is almost at 100%<br \/>\u2013 DI\/ADX are like &quot;which drop?&quot;<br \/>Drop is over!<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">$BTC<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">#bitcoin<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RNsrJhGyy5\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/RNsrJhGyy5<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; CryptoHamster (@CryptoHamsterIO) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoHamsterIO\/status\/22132737?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">July 17, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Also, the Elder&#8217;s Forse Index, an indicator meant to exhibit the strength of moves, is at its lowest since November 2018; and historical volatility is almost at 100%, implying a move to the upside to return volatility to levels deemed normal.<\/p>\n<h6 style=\"text-align: center\">Related Reading: <a href=\"https:\/\/ktsl888.com\/2019\/07\/16\/facebook-cryptocurrency-swiss-fdpic\/\">Facebook Says it Will Use Swiss Agency to Oversee its Cryptocurrency\u2019s Privacy, But is Yet to Even Contact Them<\/a><\/h6>\n<pre>Featured Image from Shutterstock<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) has been absolutely slammed over the past week. Since passing above $13,000 for the second time this year last Wednesday, the crypto has been on a clearly downward-sloping trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Blasts Below $10K, Following Senate Hearing on Facebook Crypto In fact, as of the time of writing this article, Bitcoin has lost 25% in the past week, falling to as low as $9,300. Despite the fact that optimists are expecting for bulls to experience some form of short-term reprieve, historical trends and other key indicators predict a further unwinding of the cryptocurrency bull market. Bitcoin Poised to Hit $7,500 Conceptualized by Trace Mayer, an early Bitcoin investor and funder of Kraken, the Mayer Multiple is a way of determining if BTC is either overbought, fairly valued, or oversold. It is calculated by putting the asset&#8217;s current price over its 200-day moving average. Per an analysis of this indicator (currently sits at 1.6) by CryptoKea, a little-known analyst that accurately called the recent drop to at least $9,700 earlier this month, if you consider the Multiple, the ongoing correction looks much like the first &#8220;major correction&#8221; of 2017&#8217;s bull run. 26\/ Bitcoin\u00b4s price is very much on track to resemble the first major correction of 2017\u00b4s bull market in terms of Mayer Multiples (see full thread for details &amp; targets). Even if we go all the way down to the bottom of the bullish channel, this is still considered a bull market. pic.twitter.com\/Wit1KaQjsS &mdash; CryptoKea (@CryptoKea) July 16, 2019 He notes that if history repeats itself and Bitcoin reverses out of its current short-term bearish trend like it did in 2012 and 2017, it could find support anywhere from $7,148 to $8,700. This corresponds to 1.20 times to 1.46 times of the 200-day moving average, which currently sits at $5,957. Most likely, however, Kea notes that the &#8220;most probable target&#8221; as per the use of the Mayer Multiple will be $7,505 \u2014 another 20% drop from the current Bitcoin price of $9,600. This somewhat lines up with the target of $8,000 that other analysts hold. Per previous reports from NewsBTC, Timothy Peterson, a prominent American crypto fund manager,\u00a0notes\u00a0that\u00a0Bitcoin\u2019s current active account figure suggests that BTC is overvalued. According to Peterson\u2019s model, which takes a 30-day median (as of July 13th) of the number of active accounts on the Bitcoin blockchain, BTC currently has a fair valuation of just above $8,000. In a tweet issued on Saturday, Josh Rager, a prominent technical analyst and cryptocurrency commentator, looked to this same level. https:\/\/twitter.com\/Josh_Rager\/status\/37498880 Rager notes that a \u201cconfluence\u201d of chart data and on-chain data suggests that a pullback \u201cwould likely bottom out at $8,000\u201d. As he explained in the chart above, $8,000 acted as a key horizontal support and resistance level in the recent rally and 2018\u2019s crash. What\u2019s more, there is also a\u00a0CME Bitcoin futures\u00a0gap around $8,500, which is one of the last gaps waiting to be filled. And as Alfonso Esparza, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp,\u00a0recently told Bloomberg: \u201c[Bitcoin] continues to trade lower as comments from President Trump put downward pressure on the cryptocurrency. It could fall further to $8,000, giving back all the gains made in June.\u201d Drop Might be Over? Despite this, one analyst believes that the drop is most likely over. In fact, he drew attention to almost five signs why this may very well be the case, even if it sounds crazy. Firstly, the one-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic iteration of this indicator are at their lowest levels since at least February, entering the &#8220;oversold&#8221; range. The one-day Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has tapped the zero level, despite the fact that Bitcoin is in a raging bull market according to most analysis. $BTCUSD, 1D\u2013 RSI is lowest from February\u2013 MACD is -&gt;0 level (a new bear market? No!)\u2013 stochastic is at lowest point from December\u2013 Elder&#39;s Forse Index \u2013 lowest from November\u2013 historical volatility is almost at 100%\u2013 DI\/ADX are like &quot;which drop?&quot;Drop is over!$BTC #bitcoin pic.twitter.com\/RNsrJhGyy5 &mdash; CryptoHamster (@CryptoHamsterIO) July 17, 2019 Also, the Elder&#8217;s Forse Index, an indicator meant to exhibit the strength of moves, is at its lowest since November 2018; and historical volatility is almost at 100%, implying a move to the upside to return volatility to levels deemed normal. Related Reading: Facebook Says it Will Use Swiss Agency to Oversee its Cryptocurrency\u2019s Privacy, But is Yet to Even Contact Them Featured Image from Shutterstock<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":497,"featured_media":370930,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[428],"class_list":["post-390103","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Bitcoin Correction to $9,500 Could Be Followed by 20% Drop: Analyst<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin (BTC) has been absolutely slammed over the past week. 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