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Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $19,400 with an 8% loss in the past 7 days. The cryptocurrency was moving sideways around its 2017 all-time high levels, $20,000, but the market took yet another turn to the downside and might re-test its yearly lows near $17,000.Ok, I haven’t done this before, how do you short a cryptocurrency. Do you have to secure a borrow? Is there a short rebate? Can the position be squeezed and called in? In such volatile situations, I tend to think it’s best not to short (…).A short time after, BTC’s price reached its current all-time high which could have resulted in major profits for Burry, if he was able to open a short position. In that case, he might still wait on taking profits, according to its latest , traditional equities and BTC could experience more downside on the back of a bad earnings season:
Adjusted for inflation, 2022 first half S&P 500 down 25-26%, and Nasdaq down 34-35%, Bitcoin down 64-65%. That was multiple compression. Next up, earnings compression. So, maybe halfway there.
Some Good News For Bitcoin In The Short Term
Two experts recently shared potential bullish catalyzers for Bitcoin, at least for a short period of time. Jurrien Timmer, Director of Macro for investment firm Fidelity, believes equities have a chance to rebound from their recent crash.With bond yields down and equities up, the correlation between the two asset classes remains slightly positive on a 12-month basis. It’s rare to see the Z-score for both stocks and bonds so negative at the same time. — Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity)On the other hand, Bloomberg Intelligence Mike McGlone has been expecting a drop in the price of commodities. If these assets trend to the downside, the Fed might slow down on its economic tightening and provide risk-on assets like Bitcoin with some room for relief.
Commodities Aren’t Complicated, 1H Was High: When the history of 2022 is written, there’s a good chance that the 1H pump in commodity prices will play out like similar surges in the past, with a reciprocal dump.Timmer and other experts believe that negative news on the economy, talks of economic recession, and a sustained market crash might allow the Fed to become more dovish on its monetary policy. The market has reacted to the downside as a result of the Fed, but some believe this will be insufficient to stop inflation.
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Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has doubts about a less aggressive monetary policy. In an interview with The Wall Street Journal, Powell said bringing down inflation will result in “some pain” for global markets. Does this mean Burry will be right as in 2008?