Bitcoin has been moving on a sideways trajectory after a decline from the $49,000 area. The first cryptocurrency by market seems to be displaying conviction, as the bears are unable to retake control of the current price action.
At the time of writing, BTC trades north of $48,000, a critical support zone that could support a fresh jump into previous highs. Although in lower timeframes there has been some “crab like” action, higher timeframes still record important gains.
Trader Justin Bennet the key of the next leg up will be unlock as Bitcoin moves back into the $50,000 to $53,000 area. If the bulls can break above those levels, BTC’s price should re-entered the $60,000 zone for the first time since May 2021.
Otherwise, Bitcoin could still see some downside risk towards the middle area of its current levels at $45,000. Failure to sustain that support could see BTC return to the $40,700 area with danger of slipping further into the $36,500, as seen below.
Unlike September, October has been historically a green month for BTC. Many traders are betting on this possibility.
Therefore, the quick turn in the market sentiment to bullish as BTC climbed its way up from the low $40,000 to its current levels. In addition, trader John Wick there are the right ingredients and environment to support a new all-time high, as seen below.
Bitcoin At A Crossroads, Why More Gains Could Result In A Fresh ATH?
In a separate report by Glassnode Insights, analyst Checkmate recorded that 10.3% of Bitcoin supply returned to an unrealized profit state. This suggest a lot of buyers entered positions as BTC was moving in the $40,000 to $41,000.
Thus, why BTC’s price could have found a “price floor” around those levels. As of now, about 86.6% of BTC’s total supply stands at unrealized profit, as seen in the chart below.
This increases the incentives for investors to take either of the two routes depending on Bitcoin price action. More investors could hold on to their profits, if the price continues to rally, or they could realize some of their gains if the price goes the other way. The analyst said:
If the market were to continue to trend higher and into a bullish continuation, this fractal would be similar to both the 2013 and 2017 market. In both prior cycles, a NUPL value of 0.5 acted as a ‘support’ level during major corrections as the market’s profitability and conviction to hold was tested, bounced and subsequently rallied higher.
In support of the bullish thesis, Glassnode records a $1.75 billion capital inflow per day into the market as buy demand.
In addition, the Spent Volume Age Bands, a metric used to measure the total percentage of BTC’s supply exchanging hands, suggest “old hand have strong conviction and are not spending at current prices”.
A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.
Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes
only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any
investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own
research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website
entirely at your own risk.
This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this website you are giving consent to cookies being used. Visit our Privacy Center or Cookie Policy. I Agree